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  • bindas74
    06-10 12:50 PM
    As per this everyone who got pre-adjudicated would be receiving their GC in FY2010. But, there are people from EB3I with PD as late as 2007 who got RFEs recently and got their cases pre-adjudicated( I am one of them even though my PD is March 2003 and when I called up NSC, they said my case was pre-adjudicated and waiting for a Visa number ).
    With EB3I staying at 1 Nov 2001 when the new FY2010 quota starts in October doesnt match to what Ron Gotcher says.
    Anyone have any opinion?

    http://imminfo.com/Newsletter/2009-AILA/Likely_visa_bulletin_cutoff_date_movement.html




    Likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement


    Information provided at the 2009 AILA Annual Conference gives us some insight into likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement over the next year. Historically, the INS/CIS have treated filing backlog information as a matter of national security - refusing to release any information. Recently, however, cracks have started to appear in that wall.

    We know that the 2007 filing surge resulted in an enormous number of cases submitted to the CIS. The actual number of new I-485s filed is unknown, but estimates range from 350,000 to 500,000. We also know that the CIS, having the fear of God put into them by the State Department in 2007, finally increased their level of production and began adjudicating cases at a pace sufficient to use up each year's quota and not waste any allocated visa numbers through non-use.

    At this year's conference, the CIS representatives made several statements which, if true, give us hope for a return to sanity soon. They alleged that they have completed enough EB I-485 cases this year to exhaust the EB quota (140,000). They also alleged that they will soon have completed the "pre-adjudication" of another "110,000 to 120,000" cases to be used against the quota for the next fiscal year (Oct. 1, 2009 - Sept. 30, 2010). Finally, they represented that these adjudication would "pretty much exhaust" the inventory of pending EB I-485 cases at the TSC and NSC.

    If these statements are true, then the end of the current mess is in sight.
    If the CIS really has wiped out its processing backlog, then when the "pre-adjudicated" cases are given visa numbers in the next fiscal year, cutoff dates should advance rapidly. At a minimum, we should see them return to February 2007 levels, if not closer.

    Implicit in this recital of statistics by the CIS personnel is the likelihood that they denied a truly massive number of pending I-485 applications. Before anyone panics, those denials should have been sent out already and are not out there just waiting to ruin someone's day. Only by assuming a very large number of denials does the math make any sense. Without them, you cannot reconcile the large volume of filings with the volume of approvals.
    Once these pending cases are closed out, the known "demand" for EB visas will be much smaller and the Visa Office will be able to move priority dates up quickly; in some cases by years.

    Another factor to be taken into account is the number of people who have lost their jobs between August 17, 2007 and whenever the cutoff dates cross that chronological line again. In years past, if there were 100,000 applicants with priority dates between August, 2007 and today, we could expect to see at least 90,000 applications. Today, with the economy being what it is, I think the figure is probably closer to 50,000. These are all people who were not eligible for AC21 because they had not filed for adjustment of status. If true, this means that cutoff dates will advance more rapidly than normal after the "2007 deluge" cases are resolved.

    Of course, all of this becomes academic if CIR is passed. In that case, all priority dates will become "current" overnight and remain that way for years.
    The State Department official at the AILA conference said that we can likely expect to see the following cutoff dates in the October, 2009 Visa Bulletin:

    EB2 Worldwide: Current
    EB2 China and India: Outlook is "grim" and there may be further retrogressions until later in the fiscal year.
    EB3 Worldwide: June 1, 2005
    EB3 China: March 1, 2003
    EB3 India: November 1, 2001
    EB3 Mexico: March 1, 2003

    These estimates are just that - estimates. They are, however, estimates from the Department of State.

    Where numbers move after October 1st will depend entirely upon the demand presented by the CIS. If, in fact, they have pre-adjudicated as many as 120,000 EB AOS cases, then it is unlikely that we will see much additional forward movement until the fourth quarter of the fiscal year (July - Sept., 2010). As discussed previously, however, once we get over this large bump in the road next year, we can expect to see a rapid advance in cutoff date movement.



    Copyright � 2009 The Gotcher Law Group, PC - All Rights Reserved





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  • immigrant2007
    07-16 12:54 PM
    There is nothing to solve in the immigration system. We do not need another 37K pages of vague rules like the HealthCare reform or 3K pages of rules for the Financial reform.
    The immigration law is best AS IS. The issue is that they are NOT implementing or enforcing the current law.

    States in the US can pass any law to protect it's citizens especially if the Fed Govt. is not doing it's job.

    Not enforcing a law to protect Americans is unconstitutional. Therefore states have to mandate their own laws. When the Fed calls someone illegal - it means they broke the law. They have to be punished. No 2 ways about it unless you have a new meaning for "Illegal".

    Note that politicians are spending too much time talking about illegal aliens and less time on legal benefits - cause more harm to legal immigrants. How can someone not get that?

    Please update and provide credible infrmoation in your profile. I agree with you about the imgmiration law doesn't need much changes for handling illegals. It's an implementation issue.
    I am pretty sure Arizona Law is about vote bank politics and federal Law suit is also about vote bank politics. Arizona law is to cash the sentiments of people suffering from the recession, loss of jobs , money etc etc... and illegal immigrants are an easy excuse and soft targets. Remember, few years back it was IRAQ and Afghanistan (we see the results now the issue has still not been resolved we have lost money and made more enemies and most improtant destroyed life of "GOD knows" so many innocent people...just imagine to step in their shoes even for a single moment).
    IF states continue to do this we are far from the day where you see California passing a law requiring VISAS for entry....Right now we are debating State-Federal, who knows what this leads to. I think (my views) Americans are not good (all their actions lead to law suites or wars --most of them are costly affairs)at protesting about issues though they are fast on acting (at times it could be hastily). The whole issue could have been protested and resolved in a very strong way without making it all about VOTE bank politics. Lot of laws are already there its only that will, sincerity, honsety and integrity to implement them is lacking





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  • makemygc
    08-01 12:14 PM
    I just checked - mine was L.Armstrong too....

    Is there anybody who filed on July 2nd at NSC, I-140 approved from TSC and got the receipt or checks encashed??





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  • ebizash
    09-30 11:59 AM
    Ken,

    The reason that the USPS is not showing your documents delivered could be many. One of the biggest reasons that I have experienced is "unable to scan the bar code". This is more probable if you had printed the mailing label and affixed it on the envelope with a tape. Sometimes the tape can overlap the bar code making the bar code difficult to be scanned. I frequently use USPS priority mail and in about 10% of the cases this happens. But I never had a lost priority mail piece.

    Additionally the fact that you had a soft LUD on 9/28, I would think that LUD was for the reason that USCIS received the documents. I had applied AP online on the same date as you did, sent docs via priority mail the next day. USPS showed that the documents delivered on 9/25 and had soft LUDs on 9/25 and 9/28.

    Hope this helps!



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  • EB3IFiasco
    02-17 06:56 PM
    Same story here.Hard LUD couple days ago. Email said "transfered to.." something something.





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  • Michael chertoff
    10-27 10:26 AM
    We also need people like You MC, to solve issues. are you not concerned about India? Please also let me know, How are you going to organise things as a great leader.

    Mr.MC, no you are wrong.! at present only Jonia ganty and raul can solve this problem because they snatched the power by fooling India with EVM.

    Whatever you say man. i am with you. your are a genius.

    MC



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  • saketkapur
    06-09 06:35 PM
    http://imminfo.com/Newsletter/2009-AILA/Likely_visa_bulletin_cutoff_date_movement.html




    Likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement


    Information provided at the 2009 AILA Annual Conference gives us some insight into likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement over the next year. Historically, the INS/CIS have treated filing backlog information as a matter of national security - refusing to release any information. Recently, however, cracks have started to appear in that wall.

    We know that the 2007 filing surge resulted in an enormous number of cases submitted to the CIS. The actual number of new I-485s filed is unknown, but estimates range from 350,000 to 500,000. We also know that the CIS, having the fear of God put into them by the State Department in 2007, finally increased their level of production and began adjudicating cases at a pace sufficient to use up each year's quota and not waste any allocated visa numbers through non-use.

    At this year's conference, the CIS representatives made several statements which, if true, give us hope for a return to sanity soon. They alleged that they have completed enough EB I-485 cases this year to exhaust the EB quota (140,000). They also alleged that they will soon have completed the "pre-adjudication" of another "110,000 to 120,000" cases to be used against the quota for the next fiscal year (Oct. 1, 2009 - Sept. 30, 2010). Finally, they represented that these adjudication would "pretty much exhaust" the inventory of pending EB I-485 cases at the TSC and NSC.

    If these statements are true, then the end of the current mess is in sight.
    If the CIS really has wiped out its processing backlog, then when the "pre-adjudicated" cases are given visa numbers in the next fiscal year, cutoff dates should advance rapidly. At a minimum, we should see them return to February 2007 levels, if not closer.

    Implicit in this recital of statistics by the CIS personnel is the likelihood that they denied a truly massive number of pending I-485 applications. Before anyone panics, those denials should have been sent out already and are not out there just waiting to ruin someone's day. Only by assuming a very large number of denials does the math make any sense. Without them, you cannot reconcile the large volume of filings with the volume of approvals.
    Once these pending cases are closed out, the known "demand" for EB visas will be much smaller and the Visa Office will be able to move priority dates up quickly; in some cases by years.

    Another factor to be taken into account is the number of people who have lost their jobs between August 17, 2007 and whenever the cutoff dates cross that chronological line again. In years past, if there were 100,000 applicants with priority dates between August, 2007 and today, we could expect to see at least 90,000 applications. Today, with the economy being what it is, I think the figure is probably closer to 50,000. These are all people who were not eligible for AC21 because they had not filed for adjustment of status. If true, this means that cutoff dates will advance more rapidly than normal after the "2007 deluge" cases are resolved.

    Of course, all of this becomes academic if CIR is passed. In that case, all priority dates will become "current" overnight and remain that way for years.
    The State Department official at the AILA conference said that we can likely expect to see the following cutoff dates in the October, 2009 Visa Bulletin:

    EB2 Worldwide: Current
    EB2 China and India: Outlook is "grim" and there may be further retrogressions until later in the fiscal year.
    EB3 Worldwide: June 1, 2005
    EB3 China: March 1, 2003
    EB3 India: November 1, 2001
    EB3 Mexico: March 1, 2003

    These estimates are just that - estimates. They are, however, estimates from the Department of State.

    Where numbers move after October 1st will depend entirely upon the demand presented by the CIS. If, in fact, they have pre-adjudicated as many as 120,000 EB AOS cases, then it is unlikely that we will see much additional forward movement until the fourth quarter of the fiscal year (July - Sept., 2010). As discussed previously, however, once we get over this large bump in the road next year, we can expect to see a rapid advance in cutoff date movement.



    Copyright � 2009 The Gotcher Law Group, PC - All Rights Reserved





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  • amalshe
    07-26 04:53 PM
    Can anyone access the link?



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  • PD_Dec2002
    09-01 08:49 PM
    H1B + GC holders pay SS + Medicare (??) for which they are entitled only when they become citizen.


    Are you sure about this? That sucks! I always thought you were eligible for SS after you accrue 40 points....basically you get 4 points for every year of work. If you look at your SS report that's sent out before your b'day you will see the points you have accrued.

    I thought 40 points was the only requisite; wasn't aware that you had to be a US citizen. Can you please verify this information?

    Update: Did some research. Details posted in http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showpost.php?p=158966&postcount=40

    Thanks,
    Jayant





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  • Soul
    02-07 08:58 AM
    *shrug* Don't ask me

    How fast did I get 6?

    You're still winning :P

    - Soul :goatee:



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  • vadicherla
    06-18 12:21 PM
    I support this!!!





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  • flipflop
    11-18 02:23 AM
    As we all know, the Housing crisis in US is getting worse day by day, with the inventory of houses available for sale increasing, and buyers not willing/able to buy those houses.

    Giving speedy Green Cards to July Visa bulletin cases will ease the Housing Crisis in US.

    Most of the people affected by the July Visa bulletin are highly skilled people who have the capacity to buy houses, but are not investing in houses, since their future in US is not secure until they get Green Cards.

    Instead they end up investing in real estate in Bangalore/Hyderabad etc, thereby helping in housing boom in those places.

    If Congress passes a law to give speedy Green Cards to these highly skilled people ASAP; these highly skilled people, who have good jobs and capacity to buy houses inspite of the difficult situation regarding getting loans etc, will help US tide over the current difficult housing situation.

    This is something for the US law makers to ponder.

    Vowww... what a wishful thinking.
    Definitely nobody would have thought giving Green Cards to Legal Immigrants who are making renting industry thrive can also solve US Housing Slump.

    Next time, they may even see a possibility if giving Green Cards can also solve Global Warming!!!!

    You know actually it can happen with majority of desis driving green vehicles (honda/toyota).



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  • met3259
    05-25 03:21 PM
    This is a very good, logical, sensible analysis.

    I live in the US but I have been to canada a number of times on extended business visits, and my impression was that quality of life is very good over there. Granted, you dont earn as much money (or possess as much in material wealth, as someone put it) as in the US .. but that is compensated for by much safer neighborhoods, good social security and far more immigrant-friendly policies. The immigrants are much more integrated into society there than the US. I realize this may not be true for all regions for canada, but at least in BC and Ontario its very true. So it depends what you are after .. opportunity and earning potential are both better in the US .. but overall quality of life is as good or better over there. The quick turnaround time for permanent residency makes it very attractive for young people like me who havent already invested in settling down in the US .. I would rather live with "limited" opportunity there than remain in the US and be at the mercy of a single employer for 10 years.





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  • vamsi_poondla
    10-10 07:33 PM
    also I read few months back that out of some 70K SWITCH ppl in usa, they filed GC for less than 100 employees. Do you think only 100 out of some 70K H1B wanted GC??? Another proof that they do not want their employees to move ahead.

    Where did you get this stat? It is BS. My company itself processed more than 1000 GCs last two years. To manage the perm load, we had to hire extra paralegal staff apart from distributing PERM applications to more than 3 law firms.

    And do you know that many folks who got GC from our company did not resign within 2 years of getting GC. They are highly motivated and achievers.

    Amongst SWITCH there are some companies which do not sponsor GC as a policy. I am not denying that. But that doesnt mean that they are wrong.



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  • sc3
    10-22 04:29 PM
    suresh.emails,

    I said in my earlier post that I will think about it. This is what I have to say.

    There are things that can be measured in single dimension say on x-axis. Say you have to buy a car and you have to ask yourself a question � which car do I like to buy? Say you like Honda as compared to other cars. Your likeability of Honda or such cars could be measured on the positive side of the x-axis and likewise, if you don�t like some car, that can be measured on the negative side on the x-axis. Now, there could be another dimension to the situation, say, what is the car model in question, if it is a civic or maybe accord, accord, CRV, Odyssey, Element or whatever. Now if you ask yourself that question again � which car do I like? This time you need two dimensions to answer the question which Honda model you like and which you don�t like. Foe the sake of clarity you can do this on the X&Y-axis. But say if there is a choice of multiple colors. You would have to now think/plot a 3-dimention model, say a cube, because you may like a model of Honda in one color but you may not like the same color in another model. Now there could be other combinations, say which year make or whether it is a sedan/coupe or the cost factor or resale value, mileage, new/old, dealership, goodies, experience of your friends/well-wishers etc. etc. etc. So there could be multiple dimensions analysis to answer a 7 word question - which car do I like to buy?

    The reason I say this is, even situations which otherwise seem simple require multiple dimensions of analysis. And there could be many more dimensions that we do not know or we do not understand. But say, you ignore all dimensions to every situation, and judge every situation in a single dimension analysis - whether or not you like something or not? If you don�t like it, that something has to be wrong. If you like it, that something is right. It can be easily identified on the x-axis. Simple, isn�t it. Life would be so much easier; it would be so much fun.

    But here is the problem. With single dimension analysis of every situation, we will all be wrong most of the time. Since our childhood, maybe that�s why we were sent to school to get educated so that we could gain the knowledge & wisdom which could help us to apply more than one dimension to every situation and we could gain the ability to evaluate and analyze things around us �intelligently� � in multi-dimension.

    Your single dimension analysis of -ve comments situation is, you don't like them and that's why the entire system HAS to be wrong. You see what I am saying.

    It�s ok to express in the any forum and if you don�t like a forum, as in this case you don�t like reputation system, you have the choice to totally ignore it and not look at it at all. But you chose to look at the reputation system maybe because you continue to be mindful of your reputation on the anonymous forum, but then you continue to complain about the existense of the red dot system. It�s the choice you make. And then you apply single dimension analysis � if you don�t like a comment, there is something wrong with the guy who posted a negative comment and the reputation system and the IV and everyone around us. And because you are not happy, you think it is ok to curse everyone saying that the entire immigration system cannot be fixed because IV has reputation system. You know, I have to tell you, you are pretty good.

    The reason I say all this is, I have fundamental difference with the folks who do not like reputation system but continue to look at it and complain about it, even when they have the choice not to look at the reputation system. The problem doesn�t end there. Every week there is someone complaining about the reputations left for that guy, and I just have an intellectual disagreement with that behavior. And I do not have anything against you or anyone else, I am sure you are a good man with a kind heart.



    .

    Good points Sanju we should weigh the +s and the -s of the rep system, however you are missing the core of the complaints. Which is that people giving reds are usually (though not always) doing it as a personal attack (you suck, F*'s etc.), whereas every green that one receives is usually on subject matter (I have not seen a "you stud"!! kind of +ve reps ;) ).

    Also, what it wrong for people to complain about the system? If people have the right to give reds, why shouldn't the forum be allowed to complain about it? And if the popular opinion is against it, then the system can be dismantled.

    At both ends (the extreme left and the right) it is always "my way or the highway". Neither one recognizes that there are people with different view points, and that everyone should be given an opportunity to air their own views (live a life of their choosing etc.).





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  • Eagle
    12-05 02:08 PM
    Thanks Easygoer for your reply.

    I also have Chartered Accoutancy (CA) and Cost Accoutancy(CWA) qualifications in addition to my Masters. I have approached Sheila and she is helping me out.



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  • ujjvalkoul
    07-27 02:55 PM
    I understand...those that are calling USCIS have no other way of finding out if their receipts were issued, their Lawyer / EMployers may not even let them know...
    So they call to see if USCIS may be able to lookup their case by Last name or something......





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  • missourian
    05-29 05:31 PM
    Friend,

    Thanks for the update , Yes just now I tried and I got following error from webfax, will try again and count me in I will be sending the fax.

    Immigration Voice Web Fax
    Message was not sent
    Mailer Error: Language string failed to load: recipients_failedivwebfax@gmail.com





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  • dpp
    08-10 12:29 PM
    Small change :)

    Everybody (not just Perm) filers hate LS guys as they went ahead of line...
    Backlog guys hate Perm filers as they went ahead of line... This is not true. How come PERM filers can go ahead in line.
    Eb3 guys hate EB3-EB2 conversion guys as they went ahead of line...
    ....and it goes on. This is true :)
    This shit never ends!!!:(

    Strangely, everything is done within the scope of law!





    svam77
    08-09 11:55 PM
    No one knocked your door and and asked your personal opinion ....and no one cares for what you care ...

    Its all these desi companies who misused LC ...... Thereare otherbig companie who just follow rules and do according to it. Being a senior member here, this is not expected of you .....





    sriramkalyan
    10-12 10:32 AM
    My Priority Date Sep 2002 EB3
    According to LC, my labor got approved on Aug 9th, but we received actual paper on Sep 9th .. So lost the chance to FILE 485

    DOL took more than a month TO send papers ..

    There is no point in blaming IV . They are the BEST ..

    It is US Govt agencies who are lazy and ineptitude.

    US did not get Civil Rights in one year .. it took decades of fight ...

    IV is fighting for every one ..



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