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  • MDix
    02-11 12:09 PM
    Looks like Ron is correct. This year DOS is estimating 9K FB visa but the number could go high. Last year they didn't estimate anything but by end of Year we got 13k( Per Ron). I read some where these numbers are not clear uptill end of year.

    Bottom line is we may get more and we need to ask them about those lost 13k of last year. Looks like need of FOIA from DOS/CIS.





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  • kumarc123
    02-09 12:13 PM
    and he does post some useful data (remember the recent backlog data he posted before they officially released it).

    anyway, why be so skeptical, don't we watch all the Superbowl ads but only buy the beer we like ;)

    My question to Pappu and IV is, what are you doing about this?

    Should we hold a rally like I last suggested, or again Iv core will Ignore?

    Time to act on Something,





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  • alisa
    01-27 09:25 AM
    I am glad you posted this.
    I will put the numbers in the excel spreadsheet and see what comes out.
    But these might give more sensible results than the preposterous wait times that we were getting.

    If the average depletion rate for India is 34K per annum, then the wait times would look a lot better I think.

    I am assuming that these numbers include the dependents. So, if 34K adjustment of status were awareded, then, roughly speaking, there were 17K primary applicants, and 17K dependents? Am I correct?

    Also, for the accumulation rate, when we say that 65K H-1 visas are given out annually, I am assuming that does not include the dependents. Am I right??


    FISCAL ------ Employment ------- EB3
    YEAR ----- Total ---- INDIA | Total --- India
    2000 ----- 111,024 | 15888 | 51,711 | -5567 :IV FY 2000 (http://travel.state.gov/pdf/FY2000%20table%20V.pdf)
    2001 ----- 186,536 | 41720 | 90,274 | 16405 :IV FY 2001 (http://travel.state.gov/pdf/FY2001%20table%20V.pdf)
    2002 ----- 171,583 | 41919 | 87,574 | 17428 :IV FY 2002 (http://travel.state.gov/pdf/FY2002%20table%20V.pdf)
    2003 ----- -83,020 | 20818 | 47,354 | 10680 :IV FY 2003 (http://travel.state.gov/pdf/FY2003%20table%20V.pdf)
    2004 ----- 157,107 | 39496 | 88,114 | 19962 :IV FY 2004 (http://travel.state.gov/pdf/FY04tableV.pdf)
    2005 ----- 242,335 | 47160 |122,130 | 23399 :IV FY 2005 (http://travel.state.gov/pdf/FY05tableV.pdf)
    6 yr total - 951,605| 207001| 487,157| 93441
    Annual Avg --------- 34500 | -------- 15574

    If this trend would have continued. There should not be any MAJOR retrogression problem, but if you remember from the Nov 05 VB. The warning was very clear:

    During FY due to anticipated heavy demand, the AC21 provisions are not expected to apply, and the amount of Employment numbers available to any single country will be subject to the 7% cap. It is anticipated that the addition of unused FY-2005 Family numbers and the remaining AC21 numbers to the 140,000 annual minimum will result in an FY-2006 annual Employment limit of 152,000. This will mean an Employment per-country limit for FY-2006 of approximately 10,650.
    To illustrate the effect of the reduced per-county limitation during FY-2006 on the oversubscribed countries, it should be noted that during FY-2005 India used approximately 47,175 Employment numbers.


    If you plug this number into your analysis the result might be a couple of years of advance for your predictions.

    andy





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  • sri1309
    09-10 05:27 PM
    Guys,
    The link isnt working for me too.

    I hope things work in favor with this bill today, but if not, we must ask for Citizenship instead of Greencards. Anyone with me.,

    We have all waited for 5-10 year and there are many who got it in one year and then Citizenship in 6-8 years from the day they got their GCs. That was the normal timeframe. But due to their inefficiency, we are waiting this much time. NOT our fault. Now dont you guys think we must ask for Citizenship.. I thought my case was too stressful, came 99, applied 04, waiting for 485 now, but I have seen so many many stories of ohter guys also here who suffered more. I feel we must ask them Citizenship. If we get, great, else atleast we end up with GC.
    Anybody with me,

    Thanks,
    Sri.,



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  • ita
    01-30 10:03 PM
    How does one know what is the amount mentioned on H1 LCA? Do we have to ask the employer about it?

    Now how do you show that you were in status since last entry to 485 filing date? Do we have to produce monthly pay stubs or will the W2 be sufficient?

    Will appreciate your response.

    Thank you.




    Example[/U]

    Mr Chanakya Pandit (fictitious name) has filed for eb-3 India in July 2007 for I-485. He has PD of Sep 2005 (not current).

    Mr Pandit entered last on H1 visa on Jan 21st 2006 and he is working for ABC company. As per H1 LCA, his salary is 65k and he is getting paid 62k.

    He entered on USA using AP in Oct 2008. He is using EAD to work.

    Since he was getting paid less athn H1 salary, he is out of status since Jan 21st 2006 and he has accumulating out of status days until date of I-485 filing. If this out of status > 180 days, his I-485 can be denied just on this basis alone.

    If person is out of status for more than 180 days at thetime of filing for I-485, he can denied entry even on AP. Read your AP document, it mentions warning about of out of status right there.

    ____________________
    Not a legal advice.
    US Citizen of Indian Origin





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  • meridiani.planum
    03-16 04:32 PM
    what i am saying is how and why is it that inspite of the PD having been current as I detailed in my original post for so long during 2000-2005 for EB 2 India, why are there applicants from way back in 2002 and 2003 still waiting?

    Honestly, I thought they should have been already processed and gotten their Green cards by now.

    All I am trying to figure out is how many applicants from 2004-2005 are still in the proverbial 'PIPELINE' waiting. Unless they are done, the PD is not gonna move.

    If we can have it move conclusively to 2005-2006 regions relatively quickly, most problems are solved.



    most people who filed LC in 2004/2005 before PERM got approvals in 2006 and 2007 and have only got a chance to apply for 485 in July VB. There are 10s of thousands of such people with that LC and EB2-India. When was the opportunity to get approval?


    BTW, what are the chances that the PD may become "Current" again for EB2/EB3 India over the next 40 months?


    without an administrative fix, and with the current levels of demand and supply I would say its NIL. It needs to be a mistake...

    Also, with H1 quota possibly going up this year or next, expect even more demand, and the dates will probably not be current for atleast a decade. The demand is going to go up (more H1s filing for greencards) and supply remaining the same (140k + country-limits etc)



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  • rangaGCPlease
    07-18 11:52 PM
    Hi, I see that several June 1st filers who mailed on 31st may have received RD's. So same logic should apply for July 2nd filers who mailed on 30th june. I dont see any difference between the two scenarios. Any rejected july 2nd applns should have already reached, unless they are lost in return mail :(. Otherwise the scenario is exactly identical to June 1st filers.





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  • pappu
    09-10 11:14 AM
    I'm not able to figure out how to post a mssg in chat..is it 'coz I'm restricted or something? At the bottom of the page I see my name as logged in members though..I've over 150 posts and 4 dots..not enough for access to chat or is it that I'm not able to figure out how to post mssgs? Appreciate it if someone can explain it to me.

    Thank you.

    You can post. Just type the messages on the left hand side panel.



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  • we_can
    12-27 12:43 PM
    Posted classified on portland.ekNazar.com
    http://portland.eknazar.com/ekClassifieds/product_desc.php?id=127180





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  • sri1309
    02-18 05:48 PM
    The only thing I liked is at the end that says
    "Makes permanent an INA provision allowing adjustment of status of certain aliens for whom family-sponsored or employment-based applications or petitions were filed by a specified date".
    But that doesnt mean we start dreaming again.. Lets put our efforts. I got an email from Obama today (and I am sure may have also go who have previously posted their stories on his site) that he wants to hear from us what we think about the currrent issues.
    Did you post your story and the problems we are facing?.
    Lets keep writing non-stop. We just need an admin fix, not the whole CIR.



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  • chanduv23
    11-22 01:33 PM
    I dont think that is correct - as per my lawyer this is what she says -

    In order to move to a new employer and still continue with the same gc applications, you must meet all of the following conditions under AC21:

    1. Your I-140 must be approved
    2. Your I-485 must be filed and pending for at least 180 days
    3. Your new job classification must be the same as in the old job

    If you are missing any of the 3 conditions at the time you move to an employer, you will lose your gc application and you will need to start a new one.

    So guys please make sure you give correct information. Also, I would suggest people who are asking various questions over here in IV should also talk to their own lawyers and take a decision. Please do not take decision based on comments given over here. So "LOOK BEFORE YOU LEAP".

    Please note that most people here give suggestions and advices based on their knowledge, experience etc... and may not be taken as legal advice. One must definitely consult an attorney before taking any career move. But also note that, Lawyers may not also be 100% aware or correct, as such no lawyer is perfect and most lawyers are commercial and you may * not really get the true picture* , exceptions and provisions are done on case to case basis and experienced and good lawyers can definitely help answer your questions.

    Changing employer after 140 abd keeping PD is something new and I guess lawyers may not suggest taking that route, but in realty if u r in troubled waters, definitely u must see if u can work that option out.





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  • sugaur
    05-28 09:44 PM
    I Wish the border patrol was doing its job more efficiently and doing more searches not less. This way !@#$% illegals would be kicked out and our immigration process wouldnt be held hostage by them.
    I live near the Mexican border. There are border check points everywhere when you leave the city. They will stop you, ask you your status. First time I didnt have my passport or anything. He checked my drivers license and politely reminded me about the requirement to carry immigration documents. Since then, I always carry a copy of passport and H1B and have never had any problems.
    I hate it when people cry and feel like they are being persecuted when asked to follow the law.



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  • yabadaba
    02-21 03:19 PM
    singhsa...all number and predictions get thrown out of the window when it comes to indians. we find the most innovative ways of jumping ahead in line.

    i remember a few months back I had checked on and there were approximately 200 people with an earlier priority date than mine 09/2005. now there are 700.

    I agree the BEC freed up many people but a bulk of these cases are priority dates porting and labor substitution.

    so you can download and analyze the labor certfications from flcdatacenter (or look at my earliest posts..when u search posts by user) but the fact of the matter is that there is no predictability to the queue because we specialize in jumping ahead





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  • paskal
    03-16 02:01 PM
    dont "warn" me..........you think i give a damn about your "warning"??

    the right to speak is MINE. all YOU can do from your high horse is ban me from the forum.

    i really dont care, i still think interfilers and substituters should get what they derserve. every single bit of it. may they really, truly, go to hell, and stay there indefinitely.

    and NO, dont preach to me about trying to "fix" the system. the agenda here is mostly EB3, and mostly Indian, at best. the multitudes of diploma holders get pissed when i call them out for what they are...........why are THEY so sensitive and ashamed???

    i have a RIGHT to be in the proper EB queue, which i EARNED, and did not employ cheap desi-employer tricks and other games to get into........if that does not answer your doubts my friend, then as i said earlier, ban me..........i dont really care either way.

    i dont advertise what i have done or can do for IV. somehow, that is a little demeaning. sort of like going to a temple and offering some money and then coming out and proclaiming to one and all how generous a give you are....


    so i will try one last time.

    your issues are whatever they are, i did not ask you to change your mind on them, neither did i choose to debate you on them. we all acknowledge that this is a bad system, and we all we can do is try fix it. of course like you we could simply vent, curse and blame everyone as well. not that will change a thing.

    now the issue with your posts is your language and your tenor. kindly fix that.
    yes i can ban you, i choose not to at this time. and yes take it as another warning. if you are contributing to iv action that is wonderful. language like this will however not be tolerated on this forum. please read the posting guidelines if you have doubts. i have posted the link and a snippet for your reference below. now chill out a bit and don't have a "coronary". we are all frustrated. what you are doing is not helping.

    http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/announcement.php?f=90

    "Posts that denigrate members, potential members or even anti-immigrant groups not welcome - such posts are against Immigration Voice principles. Immigration Voice reserves the right to take action against such posts and posters. You agree, through your use of this service, that you will not use this Forum to post any material which is knowingly false and/or defamatory, inaccurate, disrespectful, abusive, vulgar, hateful, harassing, obscene, profane, sexually oriented, threatening, invasive of a person's privacy, or otherwise in violation of any law."



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  • psam
    07-03 10:11 AM
    2) When there is no per country quota in H1B visas, do you think it is fair to have it in EB visas?



    There is no reason to mention H1B in this context. Its not going to help GC seekers or H1B seekers.





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  • priti8888
    02-16 03:13 PM
    What is the % of chinese, Indians in USA ?


    14% Asians Americans in US. (includes indians,chinese koreans, viatnamese, japanese etc)

    I dont know about India and china specifically.

    There are 2.7 million Indian americans in the U.S and 9.3 Chinese Americans.

    You do the math.

    Not sure if the totals include GC holders



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  • GCKaIntezar
    02-02 09:34 AM
    Sorry, but I couldn't join last night's conf. call. I was out on a business work.

    Did you guys meet?





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  • chanduv23
    09-26 11:44 AM
    I sent an email to her now.

    Thanks Murali - we must stay on top of this





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  • sanju
    04-04 03:47 PM
    if this bill is signed into law...most desi consultant companies with one h4 aunty doing the accounting work + recruiting + administrative work will have to shut down

    That is not the intent of the bill. The intent of this bill is to make H1 process so difficult that it will be almost impossible to file for someone's H1 application. IEEE has lobbied to reduce the H1 numbers for very long time. Now that they realized that H1 numbers are not likely to decrease, they want to make the H1 program so difficult/strict that, for all practical purposes, employers will not be able to hire someone on H1.

    And, even if the bill would do that you have said, how would it help speed up the green card process?





    desigun
    07-12 05:09 PM
    My PD is Oct. 07 (EB 2)

    Gurus.. pls advise.

    Could i expect my dates to be current by mid of 2011?

    Thanks,





    Jaime
    09-10 03:05 PM
    You are grossly being taken advantage of - You just met an immigrant from a green card lottery country who applied for a green card over the internet and got it, thanks to the lottery. Good for him or her! But this immigrant has very basic schooling and is just now starting to look for a job in whatever. You, on the other hand, had to go through grueling interview processes at your current company and had to overcome many immigration process hurdles such as Labor certification, to prove that no American was available for your job. Even then, your green card is still many years away. Even with your U.S.-earned PhD or MAsters degree...and you may yet be laid off and forced to immediately leave the United States. If only you had been born in Iceland or Botswana or Kenya and won a green card through the USCIS lottery from an internet cafe in Nairobi!!!! No such luck though!



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